Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Romney Wins, But His Money Advantage Should Worry Walker

Mitt Romney outspent Rick Santorum by 50-1 in the Wisconsin primary, yet hardly ran away with it Tuesday night, beating Rick Santorum only 43-38%, with 97% of the votes counted about 12:30 a.m.

The lesson for the upcoming recall election?

Embattled Gov. Scott Walker has raised unprecedented millions and aired pre-recall TV spots, and will outspend his eventual Democratic rival in a spring recall election, but the funding spread won't be 50-1.

And Walker's pre-recall spending isn't exactly moving the needle, and might even be counter-productive, as the more Walker shows his face, the more people remember they are sick of seeing it and are ready to right a wrong:

The last Rasmussen poll showed a majority of respondents want Walker removed.

A new Rasmussen poll finds that Republican Wisconsin Scott Walker is in trouble of being recalled June 5, with a majority, 52 percent, saying they will vote him out less than two years after he took office and immediately went to work to cut the power of public service unions.

The poll revealed a remarkable shift from February when 54 percent of Wisconsin voters said they would vote against the recall. In today’s poll, just 47 percent said they would vote against recalling the governor. Details will be released at 1 p.m.

Worse for Walker: 53 percent disapprove of his job as governor with a whopping 46 percent saying they “strongly disapprove” of Walker. Majorities of both men and women now support his recall. Rasmussen found that his support among Republicans and conservatives remains strong.
Maybe money isn't buying much Badgerland love this year.


7 comments:

A. Wag said...

Or . . . . how many sub sandwiches handed out for votes will it take for Walker to hang on to his seat?

Reagan's Disciple said...

The polls that matter are:

Walker v Falk and/or Walker v Barrett.

Those polls will not come out until election night starting at about 8:15.

Anonymous said...

The Rasmussen poll says he's behind?

Yikes. Walker may want to think about finishing that Bachelor's degree. It's a tough job market out there for a high school graduate.

zombie rotten mcdonald said...

Reagan's Disciple said...

Falk is losing to Walker in the polls 49-45 and outside of Madison, nobody really knows her yet.

Wait until the people know her better and then Walker's lead will be in the double digits.


Huh. A few days ago, the polls were believable. Now they don't matter until election night.

Makes me wonder what changed.

hardworking mom said...

Actually, I'm skeptical of polls by nature, and have questioned those from Marquette and PPP showing Democrats gaining on Walker. But, when I saw the Raz poll, I thought, given their documented bias, Walker may be in real trouble.

James Rowen said...

@harworkingmom - - Actually, these days polls are generally pretty accurate, though some polls are obviously stacked by the buyer. But I think the electorate is very evenly divided right now, and that all the Walker ads are not moving the needle.

That could change, or not...

My personal theory is that the ads are counter-productive, hardening the opposition and tiring out the undecideds, who have also been worn out by the presidential campaigns.

Thanks for the comment.

RD said...

@zombie,

I never said that poll mattered, rather I just posted the findings.

They don't matter until election night.