This is looking eerily similar to the 2010 recall election. Poll's showed tied until the week before when Walker had an unexpected 6-8 point gain in "likely voters". 40 minutes before the polls closed at 7:20pm Walker was declared the winner? Karl Roves programming tricks, Command Central Voting Machines, Kathy Nicholas private software, all working in unison to hack the vote, AGAIN..! The GOP know they already have this locked up; JB was on WPR this morning and seemed very confident in a Walker win...Adelson and Gogebic don't just give close to a million each to a candidate that could possibly lose...Anyone else see a pattern here?
I do smell BS with the tightness of the Likely Voter screen. Not outright rigging, but very interesting differences between that LV poll and who will actually vote on Tuesday
Yes, it feels suspicious to me too. When I watched a MJS election panel last week, the Marquette pollster said we should expect a big swing before the election. I thought, "How does he know?" I thought he was supposed to be impartial.
I did find inspiration in the photos of the long lines at the Obama-Burke rally yesterday. People know that Walker has been bad for Wisconsin.
Let's not let this stupid poll of about 1,000 people get us down. Let's keep working, and let's vote Walker out.
For God's Sake James, if you have any connections to Mary Burke, have her run ads on the minimum wage to get new voters out there. I don't understand why she hasn't before now.
I feel suspicious that there are many election fraud measures in place and ready to go at the crucial moment. For example, Kathy Nickolaus finding bags with thousands of ballots, hacking of voting machines especially in outlying districts, numbers not crunching out properly and so on. I'll bet if Walker loses he'll contest the results and there will be a recount that will take weeks and several investigations to work through. These are just a few examples of things that could muck up the works. And I'm expecting anything could happen.
I've completely lost confidence in our election system here in WI. When exit polling is more then 10 points off from what the actual results are...it stinks to high heaven! With the likes of Kathy Nicholas, Karl Rove, AFP, shortening of the early vote, and the Command Central machines that were given away for free to 92 municipalities...Everything stinks! The DOJ needs to investigate this election, with the amount of dark money flowing in, especially in the last two weeks. But I have a feeling that the voter tape reals will magically disappear, 5 minutes after Walker is declared the winner. Then a new salvo of "bomb" dropping will occur.
The fatal flaw with anyone beLIEving the "Walker by 7" poll is that it leaves out 1/7 of the people who said they were "very likely" or "50-50" to vote.
According to Chucky Franklin, those are not likely voters, but MANY WILL VOTE. And they prefer Burke over Walker by 20 POINTS.
Trust the Registered Voter numbers, which have been stable for 2 months, and that said Walker +1. The laziness of our state media is pathetic, and I'd almost be willing to say that Franklin was counting on that.
Remember what Aaron Rodgers told Packer fans, "relax". Just because Franklin's polls have been on the money before, doesn't mean he's perfect. It's the same election as it was yesterday. If a poll can convince 10% of Burke voters "all is lost" so they sit on their butts election day, when we had four years to identify and work on such people. Turnout figures do not swing by 10% on the Red side.
This is looking eerily similar to the 2010 recall election. Poll's showed tied until the week before when Walker had an unexpected 6-8 point gain in "likely voters". 40 minutes before the polls closed at 7:20pm Walker was declared the winner? Karl Roves programming tricks, Command Central Voting Machines, Kathy Nicholas private software, all working in unison to hack the vote, AGAIN..! The GOP know they already have this locked up; JB was on WPR this morning and seemed very confident in a Walker win...Adelson and Gogebic don't just give close to a million each to a candidate that could possibly lose...Anyone else see a pattern here?
ReplyDeleteI do smell BS with the tightness of the Likely Voter screen. Not outright rigging, but very interesting differences between that LV poll and who will actually vote on Tuesday
DeleteBut PS- the 2012 recall polls weren't tied in the last month. This is different.
DeleteYes, it feels suspicious to me too. When I watched a MJS election panel last week, the Marquette pollster said we should expect a big swing before the election. I thought, "How does he know?" I thought he was supposed to be impartial.
ReplyDeleteI did find inspiration in the photos of the long lines at the Obama-Burke rally yesterday. People know that Walker has been bad for Wisconsin.
Let's not let this stupid poll of about 1,000 people get us down. Let's keep working, and let's vote Walker out.
For God's Sake James, if you have any connections to Mary Burke, have her run ads on the minimum wage to get new voters out there. I don't understand why she hasn't before now.
ReplyDeleteI feel suspicious that there are many election fraud measures in place and ready to go at the crucial moment. For example, Kathy Nickolaus finding bags with thousands of ballots, hacking of voting machines especially in outlying districts, numbers not crunching out properly and so on. I'll bet if Walker loses he'll contest the results and there will be a recount that will take weeks and several investigations to work through. These are just a few examples of things that could muck up the works. And I'm expecting anything could happen.
ReplyDeleteI've completely lost confidence in our election system here in WI. When exit polling is more then 10 points off from what the actual results are...it stinks to high heaven! With the likes of Kathy Nicholas, Karl Rove, AFP, shortening of the early vote, and the Command Central machines that were given away for free to 92 municipalities...Everything stinks! The DOJ needs to investigate this election, with the amount of dark money flowing in, especially in the last two weeks. But I have a feeling that the voter tape reals will magically disappear, 5 minutes after Walker is declared the winner. Then a new salvo of "bomb" dropping will occur.
ReplyDeleteThe fatal flaw with anyone beLIEving the "Walker by 7" poll is that it leaves out 1/7 of the people who said they were "very likely" or "50-50" to vote.
ReplyDeleteAccording to Chucky Franklin, those are not likely voters, but MANY WILL VOTE. And they prefer Burke over Walker by 20 POINTS.
Trust the Registered Voter numbers, which have been stable for 2 months, and that said Walker +1. The laziness of our state media is pathetic, and I'd almost be willing to say that Franklin was counting on that.
Remember what Aaron Rodgers told Packer fans, "relax". Just because Franklin's polls have been on the money before, doesn't mean he's perfect. It's the same election as it was yesterday. If a poll can convince 10% of Burke voters "all is lost" so they sit on their butts election day, when we had four years to identify and work on such people. Turnout figures do not swing by 10% on the Red side.
ReplyDelete