Though Scott Walker promised repeatedly in his 2010 and 2012 gubernatorial campaigns he'd oversee the creation of 250,000 new private-sector jobs in a first term, only 106,100 such jobs - - less than half the promised total - - have been created during his first three years in office.
The source for that computed shortfall?
The report also shows a drop in the state's unemployment rate, and the slowly improving national economy should lift Wisconsin's boat, too - - but the so-so jobs gains under Walker could have been spun more positively by his handlers if Walker had not over-promised during his campaign.
For the record - - this is the second time that a Walker administration cabinet department projected that Walker would fall far short of the 250,000-new-jobs pledge, as The Wisconsin State Journal reported in October, 2011:
The Department of Revenue report released Friday predicts that by 2014, the state will have added only 136,000 jobs in the private sector compared with 2010. The job growth estimate was down 43,000 from the department's previous report released in June.
Maybe someday we'll find out how the tightly-controlled Walker campaign and cautious candidate himself could have fallen into this self-inflicted trap.
That tactical mistake, combined with documented performance failures at the Wisconsin Economic Development Corporation - - a cabinet department remade into a public-private corporation to give Walker a chance as agency chairman to showcase executive, job-creating skills - - will be a drag on Walker's 2014 re-election campaign and possible 2016 national GOP presidential candidacy.
The 2014 election is less than nine months away - - a pretty long time in the worlds of politics and economic data collection - - and Wisconsin's economy could squeeze out enough growth to boost Wisconsin from the 37th job-growth ranking nationally that the Journal Sentinel says is our current, sluggish lot:
The most recent quarterly census, released in December, showed that Wisconsin added private-sector jobs at a 1.0% rate in the 12 months from June 2012 through June 2013, which ranked the state 37th among the 50 states in the pace of job creation during that period. The quarterly report tracks the economy in rolling 12-month increments, measured every three months.
Under the quarterly census, Wisconsin has trailed the national rate of job creation since July 2011. The United States created private-sector jobs at a rate of 1.9% in the latest 12-month period, nearly double Wisconsin's 1.0% rate.
Mathematically, it appears unlikely that Wisconsin will meet Walker's employment objectives, said Marquette University economics professor Abdur Chowdhury.
"Even with an estimated 106,000 private-sector jobs created in the last three years, Gov. Scott Walker is less than halfway toward meeting his promise," Chowdhury said. "To meet Walker's 250,000 pledge, the state would have to create in one year 38,000 more jobs than during the previous three years combined."